Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 13.521979 15.235361 17.137958 19.417364 22.087101 25.130880 28.886385
2025-10-05 12.359903 14.864147 17.884219 21.838007 26.942331 33.400170 42.335731
2025-10-12 11.135351 13.973484 17.588476 22.616167 29.566795 39.052153 53.365741
2025-10-19 9.759992 12.631820 16.439354 21.980190 30.052523 41.743492 60.668242
2025-10-26 9.129417 12.161184 16.335302 22.678773 32.405492 47.353072 73.354265
2025-11-02 8.329678 11.350558 15.636061 22.380299 33.164183 50.578541 82.798101
2025-11-09 7.639273 10.616405 14.951482 21.987347 33.667874 53.401729 92.073479
2025-11-16 7.087775 10.028185 14.413507 21.737488 34.333180 56.551839 102.606968
2025-11-23 6.533576 9.384982 13.724767 21.152543 34.323739 58.457024 111.066223
2025-11-30 6.145944 8.963157 13.339518 21.019021 35.072205 61.862530 123.480689
2025-12-07 5.646957 8.328948 12.559420 20.123707 34.301769 62.168535 129.016637
2025-12-14 5.160445 7.682152 11.710124 19.025240 33.013241 61.223724 131.376416
2025-12-21 4.806092 7.238585 11.186315 18.499080 32.846168 62.763892 140.775186
2025-12-28 4.963221 7.642378 12.124201 20.749252 38.541209 78.191986 192.101627
2026-01-04 4.851011 7.584036 12.252834 21.481092 41.208689 87.346985 229.875940
2026-01-11 4.548685 7.179119 11.732035 20.884371 40.900029 89.197109 245.738510
2026-01-18 4.450551 7.121134 11.832419 21.539684 43.494731 99.008869 292.686509
2026-01-25 4.233378 6.838476 11.495743 21.259739 43.877205 103.028952 320.925428
2026-02-01 4.022154 6.553589 11.134177 20.891095 43.995769 106.354300 348.255086
2026-02-08 3.843631 6.317337 10.848387 20.656638 44.412741 110.653836 382.035758
2026-02-15 3.640837 6.025472 10.436032 20.107587 43.963010 112.273487 405.121088
2026-02-22 3.500843 5.842058 10.223330 19.982226 44.593996 117.420387 447.946983
2026-03-01 3.291025 5.517868 9.712996 19.141313 43.225489 115.861879 456.818973